Prediction of Jay Clarke vs Radu Albot at Soma Bay Challenger 11-21-25

• In the last six months, Radu Albot has slightly outperformed Jay Clarke in second serve points won, with 44.58% compared to Jay Clarke's 42.13%. Could this edge be decisive?
• Both players have shown similar efficiency in returning their opponent's second serves recently, with Radu Albot at 46.67% and Jay Clarke at 46.65%, demonstrating balanced competition in this area.
• When it comes to returning the first serve, Radu Albot holds a small advantage, with a success rate of 29.65% versus Jay Clarke's 29.20%.
• Under pressure, Radu Albot saves 54.46% of breakpoints while Jay Clarke saves 50.00%, suggesting Albot might handle crucial moments better.
• Over the past year, Jay Clarke has a higher match win rate (65.88%) compared to Radu Albot's 44.83%, indicating more consistent performance.
• Surface preferences show Albot's best results have been on Hard courts with a 61% win rate, whereas Clarke thrives on Clay with the same percentage.
• In the past year, both have primarily competed in Challenger and ITF tournaments, but Clarke has a slightly better win percentage in these events than Albot (55% vs. 50%).
• Albot has faced tougher opponents, averaging a rank of 223.53, while Clarke's opponents had an average rank of 397.99, which may suggest Albot has been exposed to higher-level challenges.
• Both players are nearly equivalent in deciding sets, with Jay Clarke narrowly ahead at 60% win rate compared to Albot's 59%.
• Break point conversion rates are closely matched, with Albot at 33.50% and Clarke at 32.72%, indicating similar efficiency in capitalizing on these opportunities.

Editorial Prediction (November 19, 2025, UTC):

As we analyze the upcoming match between Radu Albot and Jay Clarke, it's clear that each player exhibits distinct strengths. Albot displays a slight edge in second serve performance and first serve return, as well as saving breakpoints under pressure.

Jay Clarke, however, comes into the match with a superior overall match win rate over the past year, suggesting recent form could favor him. The competition level Albot has faced has been higher, potentially granting him valuable experience against top-tier opponents.

While both players have shown balanced performance in deciding sets and break point conversions, Jay Clarke's recent consistency might provide a slight advantage.

Considering all factors, particularly Clarke's win rate and Albot's exposure to stronger competition, Jay Clarke is slightly favored to win this upcoming tennis match.